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AIEL 2025


40th Conference of the Italian Association of Labour Economics

Department of Economics, Management and Statistics (DEMS)
University of Milano-Bicocca

Milan, 18-20 September 2025

When Extreme Weather Hits Home: Huaicos and Gender-Based Violence in Peru


Presenter

Elard Amaya (Collegio Carlo Alberto and University of Turin)


Coauthors

Margherita Tambussi


Abstract

This paper examines how huaicos — extreme weather events increasingly frequent in Andean countries as a consequence of climate change — affect the prevalence of intimate partner violence (IPV). We link a database containing the geocodes, timing, and intensity of huaicos with the Peruvian Demographic and Health Survey for the 2010–2019 period. Using a sample of eventually treated women and exploiting the gradual and exogenous occurrence of these events, our results show that exposure to high-intensity huaicos increases both general and physical IPV (between 21-26%). Additionally, an event-study analysis reveals that these effects are immediate, persistent and increasing over time. As potential mechanisms, we find that huaicos promote heavy alcohol consumption among women’s partners and worsen labor market outcomes by raising informal employment, increasing employment in the primary sector, and lowering wages. These results suggest that social-psychological distress and financial stress are key channels through which extreme weather events affect IPV.