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AIEL 2025


40th Conference of the Italian Association of Labour Economics

Department of Economics, Management and Statistics (DEMS)
University of Milano-Bicocca

Milan, 18-20 September 2025

The Gender Gap in Employment Protection: The Role of Fertility and Statistical Discrimination


Presenter

Ylenia Brilli (Ca' Foscari University of Venice)


Coauthors

Bernardo Fanfani and Daniela Piazzalunga


Abstract

This paper exploits rich administrative linked employer-employee data on Italy to analyze the relationship between temporary employment and fertility. The paper provides three main results. First, we document a robust gender gap in permanent contracts, even after controlling for experience, occupation, and local labor market segregation. Second, we estimate a negative effect of temporary contracts on fertility, by using OLS and IV strategies, which aim at accounting for endogeneity issues. Third, we show that the importance of having a permanent contract for fertility choices also affects the likelihood of having a permanent contract for both men and women, with women being even more penalized; we argue that this differential effect may be due to statistical discrimination.